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As the sunspot responsible for causing auroras makes a reappearance, here are the things to be vigilant about in the month of June

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June 2024 has a lot of work to do after May 2024. But an old friend is coming back to help keep the party going, which could lead to another historic aurora like the one that lit up the skies around the world last month.

You guessed it—that old friend is AR 3664, the huge sunspot that caused May’s amazing light shows. The huge space rock that came back from the abyss has been given a new name: AR 3697. It sounds like a Tolkien-like wizard who has been brought back to life.

The gloomy area came back on Monday, May 27, after being on the far side of the sun for two weeks. The sunspot came in like a real diva and sent out an X-class solar flare right away. An “X” class flare is the strongest type of flare. Two days later, it sent out a second flare.

The Space Weather Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) says that a coronal mass ejection (CME) linked to the most recent flare “is likely to enhance the Earth’s magnetic field?” (May 31) and early tomorrow morning. This is likely to cause a minor to moderate geomagnetic storm (with a rating of G1 to G2), which could make the aurora stronger than usual, but people at low latitudes probably won’t be able to see them.

Coronal mass ejections are explosions of plasma and magnetic field from the sun’s corona. If they happen in the right direction, they can hit the Earth’s magnetosphere and make the night sky look very colorful. Last month, AR 3664 hit the planet with at least five CMEs in a row. This caused the first G5 geomagnetic storm in more than 20 years.

It remains to be seen if we’ll get anything close to that strong in June, but the best chance will be from June 4–6, when AR 3697 will be just to the right of the sun’s center. The sunspot will be magnetically connected to Earth once it gets to this point, so any eruptions are likely to come straight at us.

Luckily, this window falls on the same night as June’s new moon. This means that the sky will be the darkest, making any solar storms that do happen easier to see. As of now, there is no forecast for this time period, though, so we can’t be sure what kind of aurora we’ll see this month.

We do know, though, that the sunspot has been less active since the G5-level storm a few weeks ago. It is also making fewer X-class flares now than it did in the middle of May. Because of this, it’s not likely that we’ll get something as strong or widespread as what we had back then. However, the fact that AR 3697 can still make X-class flares means that nothing is impossible.

If there is going to be another amazing show in the sky like last month, it will most likely happen between next Tuesday and Thursday. Strong auroras could be seen at low latitudes if there are any big eruptions during this window. However, your chances of seeing anything will also depend on how cloudy it is and how far away you are from major light pollution sources.

As Editor here at GeekReply, I'm a big fan of all things Geeky. Most of my contributions to the site are technology related, but I'm also a big fan of video games. My genres of choice include RPGs, MMOs, Grand Strategy, and Simulation. If I'm not chasing after the latest gear on my MMO of choice, I'm here at GeekReply reporting on the latest in Geek culture.

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Engineering

Gravitational wave research helps clear up the mystery of the ancient Antikythera mechanism

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People have been interested in the Antikythera mechanism for more than 120 years, and new research has shed more light on this amazing machine in recent years. The pieces that are still there show that it was probably used to figure out things like eclipses and where the planets were in the sky. With some statistical methods that are often used in gravitational wave research, astronomers from the University of Glasgow have found more proof that it is linked to the Moon.

Professor Graham Woan and Dr. Joseph Bayley each used a different method after an interesting X-ray analysis of the object was done years ago. Some people don’t know how many holes are in one of the rings, which is thought to be a calendar. There is only a small piece of the ring left, and it’s hard to say for sure what it is because it spent 2,000 years underwater.

Based on the X-ray data, Woan and Bayley used bayesian statistics to determine how many holes there were in the rings. The most likely number was either 354 or 355 holes, they found. Around 354 days make up a lunar calendar. Based on the research, this number is 100 times more likely than 360 holes, which is what the Egyptian solar calendar has. This means that a 365-hole ring, which would be like a real solar year, is very unlikely.

“Towards the end of last year, a colleague showed me data that YouTuber Chris Budiselic had collected. Budiselic was trying to make a copy of the calendar ring and was looking into ways to find out how many holes it had,” Professor Woan said in a statement. “I thought it was an interesting problem that I might be able to solve in a new way over the Christmas break, so I started using some statistical methods to find the answer.”

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo and nested sampling methods were used. These are common ways to figure out how likely one result is given incomplete data. These techniques lead us to believe that the whole ring was 77.1 millimeters across and had either 354 or 355 holes spaced 0.028 millimeters apart.

“Previous research had suggested that the calendar ring probably followed the lunar calendar, but the two methods we used in this project make it much more likely that this was the case,” Dr. Bayley said. “It’s made me appreciate the Antikythera mechanism and the work and care that Greek craftsmen put into making it even more. To punch the holes so precisely, they would have needed to be measured very accurately and punched with a very steady hand.”

The study has been written up in The Horological Journal.

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Space Exploration

China releases the first samples of the far side of the moon ever

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The first samples ever taken from the far side of the moon have been opened by scientists in China.

Chang’e 6 softly landed on the far side of the moon on June 1. It was the second time China had done this, and they are still the only country to have done it.

The lander brought something back for the European Space Agency (ESA): a negative ion detector. This detector has already picked up negative ions as they are thrown up by the lunar surface.

Author Martin Wieser said in a statement, “These observations on the Moon will help us better understand the surface environment and act as a pathfinder to explore negative ion populations in other airless bodies in the Solar System, from planets to asteroids and other moons.”

But the main goal of the mission is to bring back the first samples from the far side of the Moon. On Tuesday, the China National Space Administration (CNSA) landed in the Inner Mongolia desert to do just that. It was flown to Beijing on Wednesday, and at the China Academy of Space Technology, it was opened.

Researchers from all over China who have applied for access will sort the samples before they are studied. Scientists from around the world might be able to use this after two years, according to Space.com.

“One of the most fundamental questions in lunar research”—what geologic activity is responsible for the differences between the two sides of the Moon—is what Zongyu Yue, a geologist at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, told the South China Morning Post. This is what the samples are meant to do.

Even though it’s called the “dark side” of the moon, the far side gets about the same amount of sunlight. But there are big differences between them, which we found out when we started traveling through space.

The Moon’s far side has many craters, but not as many deep basins and “lunar seas” as its near side. In 2012, the Gravity Recovery and Interior Laboratory mission measured that the far side’s crust was thicker. It also seems to be more conductive, which is strange.

There are several ideas about how the sides got to be so different. One is that Earth used to have two moons that orbited it and crashed into each other early in its history. Another is that a dwarf planet later crashed into a smaller Earth moon.

You can study the far side of the moon from space, but there’s nothing better than taking samples yourself. Scientists hope that the samples will help them figure out how the moon formed. They also think that the samples might contain water, oxygen, and hydrogen that can be used for future missions.

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Space Exploration

More proof that asteroid Bennu came from a wet world comes from “tantalizingly beautiful” rocks

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The sample that OSIRIS-REx took from the asteroid Bennu continues to give us new information about the past of this small space rock and the early Solar System. After the sample was opened a few weeks ago, signs began to appear that Bennu may have had a wet past. There is now another finding to add to that.

Researchers have said that magnesium-sodium phosphate has been found. It came as a surprise because the ship hadn’t seen it from orbit. It makes the case for Bennu being a broken piece of a much bigger, primitive ocean world even stronger.

The Japanese Space Agency’s Hayabusa-2 picked up a piece of an asteroid from Ryugu and found phosphate minerals on it. Earth rocks have also had them in them. But the Bennu sample stands out because the grains are so pure and big.

An asteroid called Bennu may have been wet in the past because of the phosphates and other elements and compounds that are found on it. Dante Lauretta, co-lead author of the paper and chief scientist for OSIRIS-REx at the University of Arizona, Tucson, said this in a statement. “Bennu might have lived in a wetter world in the past.” But this hypothesis needs to be looked into more.

One of the people who worked on the study and is in charge of OSIRIS-REx at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, said, “OSIRIS-REx gave us exactly what we hoped for: a large, clean asteroid sample rich in nitrogen and carbon from a world that used to be wet.”

For many reasons, the team thinks of Bennu as a part of the ocean world. For example, serpentinite is present. This is a type of rock that forms when hot rocks meet water, like on Earth’s mid-ocean ridges. Additionally, a lot of the substances that dissolve appear to have moved with the help of water. The fact that phosphates are real can be added to that list.

The team suggests a body with a lot of liquid water, maybe with a hard or icy exterior. A good example is Enceladus, Saturn’s icy moon. Bennu’s parent body would be about 250 kilometers (155 miles) across, which is half of it. In the past, objects have struck the 1,630-foot-wide Bennu, which measures 500 meters.

“We are still thinking of ways to test [the wet parent body hypothesis].” But, according to Professor Lauretta, it’s the most likely place where these rocks formed. He said this in an exclusive chat in March.

The sample is still being sent to labs in the US and around the world. The valuable material was being moved around for a long time before it arrived. The team shared 58 results from the first study in March, and every week there are new discoveries. It will be possible to get even more science as the number of scientists grows.

“The rocks from Bennu are enticingly beautiful,” said Harold Connolly, who is the co-lead author of the study and a sample scientist for the OSIRIS-REx mission at Rowan University in Glassboro, New Jersey. “Every week, the OSIRIS-REx Sample Analysis Team finds new, sometimes surprising information that helps us understand where Earth-like planets came from and how they changed over time.”

The study is written up in the Meteoritics & Planetary Science magazine.

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